Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Rain looking likely Thursday-Friday

       A LOW IS PROGGED TO TRACK ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST THROUGH 
  TOMORROW BEFORE QUICKLY MOVING EASTWARD BEGINNING 
  THURSDAY...MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS SOUTHERN UTAH ON FRIDAY. MOISTURE 
  WILL BE ON THE INCREASE OVER SOUTHWEST UTAH TOMORROW...ALLOWING 
  FOR A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE TERRAIN. INCREASED MOISTURE ALONG WITH 
  INCREASED INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL ALLOW FOR BETTER 
  COVERAGE OF CONVECTION OVER SOUTHERN UTAH ON THURSDAY. INCREASED 
  CLOUDS WILL ALSO RESULT IN A DECREASING TEMPERATURE TREND FOR THE 
  SOUTH BY THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...MAXES IN THE NORTH WILL BE AS HIGH 
  AS 10F ABOVE CLIMO AWAY FROM THE CLOUDS AND CONVECTION. 
   
       THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS SOUTHERN UTAH 
  FRIDAY...ALLOWING PRECIPITATION TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND 
  SPREAD INTO NORTHERN UTAH BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ABUNDANT CLOUD 
  COVER AND COOLER 700 MB TEMPS SHOULD BRING TEMPS BACK AROUND CLIMO 
  OVER THE NORTH...AND UP TO 10F BELOW THOSE VALUES OVER SOUTHERN 
  UTAH. PRECIPITATION WILL MOSTLY FALL AS RAIN...WITH SNOW POSSIBLE 
  AT HIGH PEAKS ABOVE ABOUT 9000 FEET. THE LAST FEW MODEL RUNS HAVE 
  SHOWN VERY GOOD RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY...AND GLOBAL MODELS ARE 
  SHOWING BETTER THAN USUAL AGREEMENT...SO FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS 
  HIGHER THAN USUAL.  
   
  MODELS INDICATE THE STORM SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY EXIT THE AREA ON 
  SATURDAY...ALLOWING FOR A DRIER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP. 
  COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE A RIDGE WILL GENERALLY DOMINATE THE WEATHER 
  PATTERN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...THOUGH A TROUGH MOVING OVER THE 
  RIDGE WILL WEAKEN IT AND GRAZE NORTHERN UTAH DURING THE DAY MONDAY 
  BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK BEGINNING AT DAY 7.  
   
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