Saturday, December 8, 2012

Promising Signs of a Much Needed Pattern Change

      Snow has already started falling lightly in many mountain areas. Should be off and on but picking up throughout the day with the best chance for accumulations occurring later tonight. Just a few inches in the Wasatch with up to 6″ in areas favored by a northwest flow like the Cottonwoods. Just not enough moisture to work with for it to be anything major.

     Another even weaker system on Monday night will freshen things up with another 1-4″ in the Wasatch… Wednesday’s system is looking stronger but is now progged by all major models to drop down the West coast and move inland tracking over southern Utah. So the Wasatch will likely only see another round of light accumulations.
The whole while it will be cold with modest warming between waves. This will allow for good snow-making so resorts that need to supplement their bases can do so.

     The next week will be nice in that we’ll see frequent systems but disappointing as they are all weak. As a forecaster, it’s Week 2 that’s looking especially promising starting around mid-month (next weekend). It’s still far off, but there’s been a lot of model consistency for cold, stronger storms to start moving into the Pacific Northwest and dropping into the Great Basin. Stick with us over the next week, enjoy these little storms, and we’ll keep you posted on the status of the big boys. Keep the good vibes going… I don’t think I could take another backtracking of the models.

   Below are current model runs of projected water amounts!  








Saturday the 15th

Sunday the 16th
 
Tuesday the 18th







No comments:

Post a Comment