Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Possible Snow Tonight ?

TUESDAYS MORNING COMMUTE
 
 
       ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE  
  TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. A STRONG PACIFIC JET WILL DIG FURTHER  
  AND CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH. A SWATH OF  
  STRONG FRONTOGENESIS WILL OCCUR SOMEWHERE ACROSS NORTHERN UTAH WHICH  
  WILL LIKELY SUPPORT A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW. VERTICAL MOTION THROUGH  
  THE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH LAYER WILL SUPPORT LARGE DENDRITES AND  
  SIGNIFICANT SNOW RATES. THE QUESTION IS WHERE WILL THIS BAND  
  DEVELOP? CURRENT MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT IT WILL DEVELOP  
  BETWEEN WENDOVER...THE WASATCH FRONT AND EVANSTON. THIS COULD AND  
  LIKELY WILL SHIFT SOME. BUT WHEREVER THE BAND DEVELOPS...SIGNIFICANT  
  IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. DEFINITELY CHECK LATER FORECASTS AS THE  
  WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED.  
   
  ALSO DURING THIS TIME...THE SURGE IN COLDER AIR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH  
  COULD SUPPORT A LEGITIMATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND EXTENDING FROM THE  
  GREAT SALT LAKE INTO THE TOOELE VALLEY AND WESTERN SALT LAKE VALLEY. 
   
  ANOTHER RELATIVE BREAK IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING  
  AS THE NOSE OF THE JET PASSES THE REGION AND THE AFOREMENTIONED  
  PROCESSES DECAY. SHORT RANGE ENSEMBLES INDICATE WIDESPREAD AFTERNOON  
  INSTABILITY SO MENTIONED THUNDER AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
   
  THE THIRD ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THURSDAY. WARM  
  ADVECTION IN THE MIDDLE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD SUPPORT A BAND OF  
  PRECIPITATION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN  
  AND CENTRAL UTAH. TRAJECTORIES OFF THE GREAT SALT LAKE SUPPORT THE  
  THREAT OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO THE SALT LAKE VALLEY AGAIN THURSDAY  
  MORNING. ENJOY

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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